Dwight’s premature problem…

This is very interesting…

Eternal boiling occurs when the level of mutation, temperature, or noise is so high that the system remains permanently disorderly. In such a state, any potentially valuable structures are broken apart before they can be effectively put to use. Organisations and polities sometimes find themselves in periods of continuous upheaval that produce this effect. There may be striking new ideas, but before it is known whether they will actually work, their underpinnings are swept away in subsequent waves of change. If mutation rates are too high in a biological population, there will be many variant organisms that cannot survive, along with a few that are important improvements over earlier types. But a surprising new discovery will itself be subject to high rates of (usually lethal) mutation, and so its superiority will not have enough time to establish itself in the population before it is disrupted by deleterious random change. In these situations, exploration completely swamps exploitation.
Premature convergence is the opposite phenomenon. Premature convergence occurs when needed variability is lost too quickly. This can happen when very speedy imitation of an initial success cuts off future system improvements. A fashion in health care can sweep through a community and wipe out alternatives that might have proven superior with some additional testing and refinement. A new product can become a standard before sufficient trials of alternatives have occurred. A new variant that might actually have the potential to be better may lose out because it cannot overcome the advantages accruing to the established standard. In these situations exploitation quickly swamps exploration.
Page 43-4 of Harnessing Complexity: Organizational Implications of a Scientific Frontier
Robert Axelrod and Michael D. Cohen
2000 Basic Books New York

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About dwighttowers

Below the surface...
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